What Disaster Response Management Can Learn From Chaos Theory

Conference Proceedings
May 18-19, 1995

Edited by
Gus A. Koehler, PhD.

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NONLINEAR ANALYSIS OF DISASTER RESPONSE DATA

H. Richard Priesmeyer
&
Edward G. Cole



DIGEST

Chaos theory, also called nonlinear systems theory, provides new insights into processes previously thought to be unpredictable and random. It also provides a new set of tools which can be used to analyze emergency responses. This article provides an introduction to the use of phase planes and describes how they can be used to track the initial response and subsequent subsidence in a major disaster. The discussion focuses on tracing resource allocations but also provides analysis of emergency medical services during the Los Angeles Civil Disturbance of 1992.

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